Welcome to Week 11

Alright folks if you have made it this far hopefully you are in the mix for some playoff sweats. For FFPC leagues there are only 2 weeks left of the regular season, while the NFFC goes through week 14. It is time to prepare, and that means stocking up on some stashes. Get your game plan together now, so you don’t get caught with a hole in your roster.

If you are a favorite for a playoff spot and have a strong team across all the positions look to protect your team. One way to do this is by handcuffing your studs, prioritize these players first on the waiver wire that can cover you in case anything were to happen. If you are still looking to secure a playoff berth you want to fill most of your roster with players with some upside.

When looking for upside target young players who are starting to see more volume signaling a role change, but have not yet produced. Situations where players have recently been given more opportunity because of talent, coaching changes, injury, trade, or poor performance from the player in front of them.

Look for injury contingent upside, players who have a defined role, even if it isn’t fantasy relevant now or are the clear backup to a stud could easily grow or take over the entire role with an injury in front of them. Seek out players on good and high scoring offenses first when trying to decide between individuals who fit these player archetypes. Also take advantage of any ambiguous situations that arise and where there is not a person yet in a clear defined role, or that role is not solidified for the incumbent because or recent short term injury or poor performance, for example the running back situation in Minnesota.

Aside from stashing these players start stashing some defenses for the playoff weeks, look at the matchups ahead of time you want to target. I like the idea of rostering multiple defenses, if possible, to give you the flexibility to play the best matchups heading into the finals. And last if you have extra money or roster space its ok to strategically pick up a player you may never need to prevent your opponent from getting the player. Now lets start stashin’ with my favorite adds in week 11 and make a strong sprint to the finish line.

First a look at week 10

Week 10 Waiver Wins

When I say “wins” it is in reference to player(s) won on the waiver wire, not a performance evaluation. Because I am releasing this article after the conclusion of week 10 many things in hindsight may not be a win after all. I include this section not for bragging rights or victory laps, but rather to keep myself accountable and demonstrate that I am in fact bidding on many of the players I am writing about (for better and worse).

Several of the top options were not available or ones I was willing to pay for given the teams’ individual roster. I included the prices I saw these players go for in leagues I am in.

Keaton Mitchell (no shares)

Other leagues price range won $353-$769

Joshua Dobbs (no shares)

Other leagues price range won $1-$77

Noah Brown (no shares)

Other leagues price range won $12-$219

Odell Beckham (no shares)

Other leagues price range won $1-$7

Darnell Mooney (no shares)

Other leagues price range won $1-$47

Ty Chandler (5 shares)

Winning bids $101, $76, $58, $52, $14, other leagues price range won $24-$138

Tank Bigsby

Winning bid $11

Deshaun Watson

Winning bid $22

Taylor Heinicke

Winning bid $27, other league price won $46

Isaiah McKenzie

Winning bid $1

Wan’Dale Robinson

Winning bid $22, other leagues price range won $16

Rashaad Penny

Winning bid $1

Alec Pierce

Winning bid $1

Jacksonville Defense

Winning bid $22, other leagues price won $1

Las Angelas Chargers Defense

Winning bid $1

Chicago Defense (2 shares)

Winning bids $2,$1

Cincinnati Defense

Winning bid $1, other leagues price range won $1-$9

Seattle Defense

Winning bid $1, other leagues price range won $3

Tampa Bay Defense

Winning Bid $3

49ers Kicker (3 shares)

Winning bid $11, $7, $1 other leagues price won $1

Cincinatti Kicker

Winning bid $11

Week 10 Standings

NFFC Prime Time

Buckeye Boomers (6-4) 1st Place 1483.50 pts

The boomers pulled out a win thanks to Arthur Smith finally capitulating to the fantasy world and playing Bijan Robinson… ok so maybe it wasn’t a full capitulation but hey its a start.

Ship Taeking (5-5) 8th Place 1284.50 pts

I don’t know how to pinpoint and articulate exactly what went wrong here, but it went wrong…very wrong. On the bright side Devon Achane and Cooper Kupp will be back next week.

Ship Chasing (4-6) 3rd Place 1442.25 pts

Finally the matchup luck fell on the right side of variance with this team and they won. I still don’t get how they have so many points and such a bad win/loss record. The good news is in NFFC leagues total points is significantly more important than win/loss record.

Waiver Chasing (7-3) 6th Place 1332.95 pts

My team came away with the win this week after a close matchup where we were sweating James Cook on the other side. For this team the opposite of the above is true, we have an amazing win/loss record and only middling total points. The good news is NFFC season goes until week 14, and we have two possible paths to earning a playoff spot. We continue to win and the one team with a better win/loss record loses 2 games or we score enough points to move into 2nd place, which is still very attainable.

NFFC Super 12 Team

Shark Jumping (6-4) 1st Place 1460.80 pts

This team easily won its week with Brock Purdy, Jahmyr goal line back Gibbs and the Browns defense/kicker combo.

NFFC Silver Bullet

Ship Chasing Single Bullet (5-5) 4th Place 1364.50 pts

This team lost a close one after Khalil Shakir and James Cook blundered the matchup the last moments of the game. I blame Ken Doresy and appreciate the Bills taking swift and decisive action to ensure our fantasy teams can get back to winning next week.

FFPC Main Event

Chasin’ Go Bills (6-4) 2nd Place 1495.05 pts

This powerhouse main event team put up the biggest score in its league by playing a nice game stack featuring a Justin Herbert alpha skinny with Keenan Allen and Sun God bring back, this is a great example why we like to correlate playoff games in this way.

SC (Mini Episodes) (7-3) 1st Place 1496.60 pts

Just listen to some of the receivers on this team DK Metcalf, Jordan Addison, Deebo Samuel, Brandon Aiyuk, Ceedee Lamb and AJ Brown?!!! When a team can have several of its studs on a bye and still put up a dominant score you know its stacked! I can’t wait to see this one down the stretch firing on all cylinders the rest of the way.

Stat Chasing (5-5) 8th Place 1256.95 pts

All good things must come to an end, RIP Justice Hill. This team had a tough loss, but we will go down fighting til the end with only two weeks left in FFPC.

April/Cranking Purple (5-5) 8th Place 1304.55 pts

This team won by exactly 1 pt this week thanks to Trey McBride and Brian Robinson and despite goose egg Jahan Dotson reverting back to his old tricks along with a floor performance from DeAndre Hopkins. This team has a tough road ahead but surprisingly is not out of the race yet for a playoff spot thanks to a middling records and scores from most of the league.

Slo Bros (4-6) 9th Place 1323.30 pts

This is another Kyler/McBride team with Jahan Dotson, but unfortunately that was not enough to save it from the hell that Tony Pollard managers are put through every week. I say this with love Bros, but this team is most likely not going to recover from this loss with the little time left.

Chasing Stolen Bananas (7-3) 2nd Place 1454.75 pts

This team had a rough loss this week, but luckily is strong enough to maintain a strong position in the league down the final stretch of the regular season. Last week all the running backs were on byes and this week it was the wide receivers turn. Next week this team should be back to full strength, ready to go!

StephWuGee (5-5) 7th Place 1356.40 pts

My main event team had a huge week scoring 174.53 pts, the most in the league this week thanks to the power combo of Keenan Allen and Amon Ra St. Brown. The FFPC playoffs begin week 13, so there are only 2 weeks left, but getting this win gives us a fighting chance to get a playoff spot.

FFPC FantasyPros Championship

Ball Knower (4-6) 9th Place 1274.15 pts

This team pulled out the win after a late Latavius Murray bid paid dividends combined with a dominant Bengal performance.

Super Shorty (2-8) 12th Place 1172.55 pts

I lost this week with Mahomes and Kelce on bye, shocking I know.

Scott Fish Bowl 13

Stephmiller40 (18-2) 1st Place 2379.52

I won my matchup this week despite Jalen Hurts, AJB, and Raheem Mostert all having a week 10 bye. I expected this to be one of my lower scoring weeks on the season and it was. I am currently 31st overall, and have secured a playoff spot which begins week 12. I will have some big names return off injuries soon and look forward to competing for the title, LFG!

Week 11 Waiver Priorities NFFC/FFPC

Below are all the players I like for Week 11 for FFPC and NFFC leagues. I break down all players into tiers with FAAB suggestions, followed by analysis, and a list of players to consider dropping. This article is also viable for those of you who play in deeper league formats and dynasty leagues, as I try and go deep into the player pool. All stats and data for this article are pulled from Fantasy Life, PFF, Ben Gretch of Stealing Signals, and ETR defense v position FPOE chart and PROE.

This week is a little different, most of the big waiver adds for the week are already rostered in these deep competitive leagues. Instead of tiers I am going to go through each position and list players in order for how I would rank them within their position. As I spoke in the introduction stashing players for the weeks ahead is becoming more important as the waiver wire dries up and hoping to land the player who would become the next big add in case of injury or rookie breakout can be a potential league winner down the stretch. Also keep in mind if you are set to make the playoffs in FFPC or NFFC you will not be able to make any waiver adds after week 14, so handcuffing your studs and having a backup at onsie positions are both viable strategies you should consider to avoid unforeseen disaster.

Quarterbacks

Josh Dobbs (Suggested FAAB 15-35%) does it again folks and just like that the world has fallen in love with the guy. Dobbs led the Vikings to yet another victory in his second start for the team, missing 2 of 3 starting wide receivers, throwing for 268 yds and 1TD while rushing for 44yds and a TD. Now close your eyes and imagine Justin Jefferson back on the field next week running wild … waivers just take all my money if you are one of the lucky few to still have this as an option.

Matthew Stafford (Suggested FAAB 10-15%) was dropped in some leagues with the combination of injury concerns and week 10 bye. Stafford is likely one of the better QB options available and I would make moves to secure him if you are in a position to make a playoff run; whether it be in case of injury, to cover byes, or just block an opponent.

Jameis Winston (Suggested FAAB 1-5%) is a quarterback only a fantasy player can love, as he is willing to make throws no other QB will. According to Next Gen Stats Winston’s 14yd TD to Chris Olave had a 10.5% completion probability, the least probable TD pass this season. Winston is one of the few upside stashes at the position available in case Derek Carr doesn’t start after the bye week…or is benched, please fantasy Gods for Chris Olave’s sake give us Winston. I like the idea of picking him up for cheap as the Saints are on bye this week and stashing him.

Running Backs

Darrell Henderson (suggested FAAB 1-5%) will have one more week viability as a starter coming off the bye since it has been announced Kyren Williams is not eligible to return until next week. Henderson is also more appealing with news that Matthew Stafford will be starting at QB. Henderson will likely not be viable once Williams returns as more than a handcuff, but there are some unknown variables that leave some hope for an increased role.

Royce Freeman (suggested FAAB 1-5%) similarly to Henderson, Freeman has one more week where he could have value as a flex option. During week 9 Freeman saw more carries than Henderson, but Henderson has played more snaps all 3 weeks and been the only back to see targets. Freeman will also relegate to being a handcuff stash, as there is some ambiguity in the roles upon Kyren Williams return.

Myles Gaskin (suggested FAAB 1-5%) is the favorite to be the RB2 behind Ty Chandler after he was resigned to the Vikings practice squad earlier this week after Alexander Mattison suffered a concussion and is likely to miss week 11. The Vikings have a pristine matchup against the Broncos that are ranked as the best DvP matchup for RBs and have given up an average of 33.6 fantasy points (the most to the position). There is the possibility that Gaskin see a decent workload and can earn a bigger role if he plays well as the Vikings backfield remains one looking for improved efficiency where there are opportunities up for grabs.

Michael Carter (Suggested FAAB 1-5%) was cut unexpectedly by the Jets this week. Carter is not expected to clear waivers and there should be interest in the young back who is still on a rookie contract, the Vikings would make a ton of sense here. I want to get out ahead as much as possible in case he lands in a spot good for fantasy purposes.

Israel Abanikanda (suggested FAAB 1%-5%) could finally get on the Jets active roster and see the field after they surprisingly cut Michael Carter. The fifth-round rookie pick was a favorite prior to the draft where he ran a 4.41 40yd dash and then flashed during the preseason where in week 1 he had 53 yards after contact and 5 missed tackles forces, the most amongst rookie RBs and first TD of the season. Abanikanda is an exciting stash who Zack Blatt of the Athletic states the New York Jets “ really do believe in Abuniknda’s ability to contribute right away.”

D’Ernst Johnson (suggested FAAB 1-5%) appears to have jumped the rookie Tank Bigsby on the Jaguars depth chart as the RB2 coming off the bye week. Bigsby has not been able to get out of his own way this season, blundering every opportunity given, so it makes sense that Johnson is being given this opportunity. Johnson is my preferred stash behind Travis Etienne at this point in a valuable offense.

Trayveon Williams (suggested FAAB <1%) remains the clear number 2 RB behind Joe Mixon. PFF rates the Bengals as having the 6th best RB schedule for the rest of the season making Williams one of the highest upside contingency stashes available.

Jamaal Williams (suggested FAAB <1%) is the Saints clear RB2 with rookie Kendre Miller injured. I like Williams less than some of these other options as he still has to compete for touches with Taysom Hill, especially at the goal line, which puts a clear cap on ceiling potential.

Rashaad Penny (suggested FAAB <1%) is only two injuries away to relevance, there could be some chance the Eagles reevaluated the RB rotation coming off the bye week.

Chase Edmonds (suggested FAAB <1%) remains the clear backup to Rachaad White playing on significantly more snaps than KeShawn Vaughn and Sean Tucker. Edmonds has some injury contingent value given his similar skill set as a receiver.

Wide Receivers

Jaylen Guyton (Suggested FAAB 5-10%) ran 85% of routes (the same as Quentin Johnston) and saw a larger target share with 15%. Guyton is a priority waiver add as a full time receiver in Charger offense.

Rashod Bateman (Suggested FAAB 5-10%) played on 77% of snaps and saw a 20% team target share week 10, the most so far this season. What if Bateman is the guy you need for the fantasy playoffs?

Rondale Moore (Suggested FAAB 1-5%) led the Cardinals wide receivers with a 30% target share, and sported a reasonable 8.11 aDOT. The Cardinals have an exciting matchup against the Texans this week making Moore a viable flex option and exciting stash to see if this usage continues with Kyler’s return.

Trenton Irwin (Suggested FAAB 1-5%) ran 81% of routes and saw 10% of team targets which he tuned into 2 catches for 54yds and 1 TD. Irwin was the primary replacement for Tee Higgins who appears unlikely to start Thursday as well and remains an option for teams who need a spot start at the WR position and is a good handcuff to keep on roster.

A.T. Perry (Suggested FAAB 1-5%) came into the game and took over the Michael Thomas role after he left the game with a knee injury. Perry played on 89% of routes, matching Chris Olave, but only saw 10% of team targets. Thomas is likely to miss some time making Perry a strong add to see if he can earn more targets on this volume, be aware the Saints are on bye this week.

Cedric Tillman (Suggested FAAB <1%) saw another sizable jump in his role running 95% of routes this week, however only he still only saw 2 targets, one in the end zone and none that were deemed catchable. Tillman remains one of my favorite stashes given the massive amount of opportunity he is seeing without Donovan People-Jones.

Kyle Phillips (Suggested FAAB <1%) did not see a role change in the offense with the Burks injury but did have the second most targets of the receiver group with 14% (second only to DeAndre Hopkins), and was the most productive with 3 catches for 61 yards. The second year player is worth a stash to see if he can continue to build rapport with the rookie QB.

Chris Moore (Suggested FAAB <1%) saw the largest role change and was clearly the direct backup to Treylon Burks, running 84% of routes as a full time receiver. If Burks continues to miss time Moore is a solid injury contingent stash.

Justin Watson (Suggested FAAB <1%) was a player I wrote up last week to keep an eye on after he saw a season high 74% of routes on his return from injury in conjunction with Skyy Moore losing work. The Chiefs had their bye last week, now we wait and see what the usage looks like for Watson, I suggest stashing him for cheap ahead of this game.

Cedrick Wilson (Suggested FAAB <1%) appears to be Jaylen Waddle’s direct backup playing on more than 50% of snaps the last 2 of 3 games while Waddle has gotten banged up on injuries. Wilson caught a deep TD before the bye week, that presumably would have been a Waddle route, and made a beautiful play. Wilson also played over Braxton Berrios in 11 personnel and could have some stand alone value as the third wide receiver in this offense if Tua spreads the ball more on top of injury contingent upside if Waddle misses time or is limited.

Jalen Tolbert (Suggested FAAB <1%) ran more routes than Michael Gallup for the second consecutive week in a row and saw 5 targets, 2 in the end zone. Dak Prescott is playing like the type of QB whose pass catchers we want to target for fantasy, with a Big Time Throw Rate of 6.6% (2nd highest) and a 70.7% completion rate that is also 2nd best. The Cowboys next several matchups are some of the most favorable for WRs as well.

Trey Palmer (Suggested FAAB <1%) continues to play a full time role but Tampa continues to spread the ball making it hard for the receiver to have enough consistent volume to be fantasy relevant. The rookie remains an intriguing stash option with big injury contingent upside.

Isaiah McKenzie (Suggested FAAB <1%) saw an increase playing time with Josh Downs limited. McKenzie appears to be the backup here but still earned more targets than full time wind sprinter Alec Pierce. The Colts have a bye this week, but McKenzie remains an injury contingent stash option.

Darius Slayton (Suggested FAAB <1%) is mildly interesting if you are desperate after Jalen Hyatt left last week with a concussion. Slayton has led the Giants in targets under Tommy DeVito and they have a matchup against Washington this week, this is as good as it gets for the Giants.

Julio Jones (Suggested FAAB <1%) only ran 38% of routes in the game before the Eagle bye week and saw no targets. It is possible he sees more work after the Dallas Goedert injury. Jones is fine as a contingent stash, but I don’t feel confident on this one.

Tight Ends

Donald Parham (Suggested FAAB <1%) could see an increased role if Gerald Everett misses time with a back injury. Parham has seen an end zone target in all but 2 games this season.

Tanner Hudson (Suggested FAAB<1%) led the Bengal TEs in routes (17) and targets (7), the problem being they used four TEs. I don’t mind stashing Hudson to see if he can begin to separate from the rotation.

Mike Gesicki (Suggested FAAB <1%)continues to see increase in usage due to injuries on the Patriot offense, but not see many targets. This offense is not one I am looking to target, but the opportunity is there if a change in quarterback can do anything for the Patriots.

Jack Stoll and Albert Okwuegbunam (Suggested FAAB <1%) are the 2 TEs on the Eagles who could see an increased role after Dallas Goedert broke his forearm against Dallas. Both make for decent stash options as we wait to see what the split looks like coming off the bye week.

Connor Heyward (Suggested FAAB <1%) continues to run a full slate of routes and saw his 18% of team targets, his highest target share of the season. Keep an eye out for Pat Freiermuth news as he is eligible to return from IR.

Noah Gray (Suggested FAAB <1%) saw a 12% team target share in the game before the Chiefs bye week. The Chiefs have been searching for playmakers outside of Travis Kelce, making Gray an intriguing stash in TEP leagues with large injury contingent upside.

Drops

Kirk Cousins, Taylor Heinicke, Daniel Jones, Cam Akers, Jeff Wilson, Justice Hill, Tank Bigsby, Emari Demercado, Kendre Miller, KJ Osbourn, Josh Palmer, Treylon Burks, Kadarius Toney, Skyy Moore, Darren Waller, Irv Smith